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Tuesday, May 17, 2022

Stocks Ride Risk-On Wave as Dollar, Bonds Fall: Markets Wrap

U.S. stocks gained as strong economic data boosting market risk volatility in recent weeks due to concerns about rising inflation and tightening policy. Gems have fallen to the dollar.


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Tech and finance led the S&P 500 to the top, while the Nasdaq 100 retreated after the most recent tech-led selloff on Monday. Citigroup Inc. has risen after a report showing Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway participating in lending. Walmart Inc. has fallen after declining its profitability profile due to inflationary pressures.


Emotions were strengthened by data showing US retail sales grew sharply last month, the latest evidence that consumers remain strong in the face of inflation. The value of all purchases increased by 0.9%, following a revised 1.4% gain in March. One report showed that factory production rose sharply in the third month of April.


Treasurer's profits rose to higher levels after retail sales data. The dollar became weak compared to all its Group 10 counterparts except the yen.


The crisis in Europe has seen an increase in data showing that the economy in the euro area has grown more than previously thought this year, in anticipation of storms since the early days of the war in Ukraine.


Commentary

"The retail sales were much stronger than expected, especially including reviews," said Dennis DeBusschere, founder of 22V Research. “This has been our concern - the consumer is always very hot on the Fed. Consumer strength and power have become much stronger than anyone thought. ”


"The thing that took the print of the morning sales sale was the certainty that spending in the second quarter started again," writes Ian Lyngen of the BMO.


"Inflation may undermine market sentiment and cause concern for the Fed, but it does not appear to be reducing consumer spending yet," said Mike Loewengart, managing director of E * Trade's investment strategy from Morgan Stanley. “That does not mean that high prices will not start to enter into these figures. After all we saw a drop from month to month. And with a mixed bag for retail outlets today, it remains to be seen how investors will digest this reading from the consumer. ”


"We're going into '23, '24, yes there is a recession somewhere but I don't see that in the near future," Scott Clemons, chief investment officer at Brown Brothers Harriman, told . "The background is very strong."


President of St. Louis Fed James Bullard, a hawk and FOMC voter, stressed Tuesday that inflation is the most pressing issue facing the Fed at the moment. Five other Fed officials are expected to speak all day, including Chairman Jerome Powell.


At the time, Shanghai reported three days of zero public transfers, which is a milestone that could lead to officials starting to postpone the penalty shootout. Flareups elsewhere in China have shown how difficult it is to deal with omicron strain.


Cryptocurrencies have won the latest stablecoin controversy, with Bitcoin rising above $ 30,000.


What damage will be done to the US economy and world markets before the Fed changes and reduces policy again? "Fed Put" is the subject of this week's MLIV Pulse survey. Click here to participate anonymously.


What to watch this week:


Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was among the Fed's speakers on Tuesday


The Australian Reserve Bank released the minutes of its May policy meeting on Tuesday


The G-7 finance ministers and the major banks met on Wednesday


Eurozone, UK CPI Wednesday


Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker speaks Wednesday


Lower borrowing costs in China on Friday


Some of the key steps in the market:


Stocks


The S&P 500 rose 1.1% from 10:30 a.m. during New York


Nasdaq 100 up 1.4%


Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.7%


Stoxx Europe 600 up 1%


MSCI World index rose 1.4%


Funds


The euro rose 1% to $ 1.0541


The British pound rose 1.3% to $ 1.2476


The Japanese yen dropped 0.1% to 129.33 dollars each


Bonds


Treasury 10-year profit improved by seven points up to 2.95%


Germany's 10-year harvest improved by 11 points to 1.04%


Britain's 10-year harvest improved by 14 points to 1.86%


Goods


West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.5% to $ 114.78 barrel


Gold futures rose 0.4% to $ 1,821.40 an ounce